Will Ethereum Hit a New All-Time High This Year? Odds Favor Bulls: Analysis

Can Ethereum finally come off from his three -year prison and set a new all -time all time towards the end of 2025? That is the question of $ 72,000 about Myriad – a platform for the forecast markets built by DecryptThe parent company Dastan – where traders put real money at stake with always bullish opportunities.

The market has generated more than $ 72k in volume so far and has seen a number of wild swings last week. Only a few days ago Bears had taken control and the chances set to 53% that Ethereum would not affect a record high this year.

But at the moment countless users give ETH a 63.6% chance of the surpassing of the peak of November 2021 of $ 4,891 before the clock hits midnight on December 31, 2025.

With Ethereum no less than 58% this month and institutional buyers who are piling up with billion dollars, the setup looks promising. But here the rub: ETH has been almost 10 times $ 4,000 to break since 2021. So what makes this time different?

Ethereum -Prize: What the graphs scream

Looking at the weekly graph, there is one signal with technical traders who do double takes: the always striking “Golden Cross” on daily movements.

For the non -ingwrden, a Golden Cross happens when the average price of an active during the past 50 days has crawls above the average price over the past 200 days. It is like the crypto equivalent of a green light in a drag race. The last time Ethereum flashed, this signal was last year. Those of you who have followed will know that ETH started to form this pattern on the daily charts on July 16. Well, now it’s completely in that golden zone.

On the weekly graphs, on the other hand, the bullish configuration since 2022 – even after the crypto -winter, so long -term Hodlers have a certain degree of reassurance that their currency will not dump great.

Given that there are still a few months before this market is closed, this is the configuration that we will use for our analysis.

The relative strength index, or RSI, is on 69 – raised but not entirely in a nose blood area. You can consider RSI as a thermometer that tells the traders how hot a market is, ranging from 0 to 100. During earlier high runs of all time, RSI measurements usually pushed for Ethereum in the reach of 75-85. In other words, there is still gas in the tank if bulls want to make a serious run.

The average directional index, or ADX, is 24 for ETH. ADX measures the trend strength, regardless of the direction, and ETH is now knocking on the 25 – the magical number that confirms price trends. As soon as it exceeds that threshold, momentum traders stack the tendency to stack.

In terms of price patterns, the weekly trend defeated a double top configuration that pushed almost $ 1,300 in April. Since then, the ETH prices have bounced and started to go up, according to a bullish channel that has been in the game all year round (the green dotted lines in the graph above).

The problem of $ 4,000 from Ethereum

But let’s talk about the elephant in the Chamber: that cursed $ 4,000 level where ETH meetings die. Too many failed attempts since 2021 have turned this round number into a psychological fort.

The volume profile – actually a heat card from where traders are most active – has a massive resistance between $ 3,890 and $ 4,200. This is smart money area, where institutional traders and whales have repeatedly made a profit. Breaking through requires more than hope and prayers; It needs a serious volume and conviction.

So why do countless traders give it 63.6% opportunities? Well, mathematics is actually pretty compelling.

As mentioned earlier, the weekly graph shows ETH that breaks through its rising channel, which increases the bullish momentum. If Ethbulls can sustain this momentum and earlier resistance becomes new support, then prices should have to Be at least $ 4,818 per New Year’s Eve and register a new of all time.

But if this does not happen in a bullish scenario under the current Bullish Kanaal-the Prices can close to $ 4,769 ending-all of the $ 4,868 of all time.

It is a scary opportunity, but probably still attractive enough for users of forecast market to take.

Ethereum’s path to glory (or not)

To reach ETH towards the end of the year that new of all time, a few dominoes must fall. Here is the graph with the price process until January 2026 (the vertical white line in the graph below).

Firstly, the convincing $ 4,103 has to break – the local 2024 High. This is not just about touching; Traders need a weekly closure with volume to confirm.

Secondly, the ADX has to push over 25 to confirm that we are in a trending market, not just a failed outbreak attempt.

Thirdly, we need the rising channel to hold. A break under $ 3,100 would in principle destroy the entire thesis and probably deposit forecasts. In the ideal case, the previous resistance must be confirmed for traders as a new price support to talk about a new of all time, even if the bullish trend maintains the direction, but from now on it starts to miss strength. In other words, the prices continue to rise, just not as fast as before, but not so slowly it starts to look like a flat trend.

Here is something that perhaps the prediction market is underestimated: the deadline of December 31 is falling on a Wednesday, but it is also New Year’s Eve. Trade volumes typically thinning out during the holidays, making persistent movements above resistance levels more difficult. However, it is possible that predictors expect ETH to break his record price well before the resolution date.

On the other hand, a record high is not characterized by a closing candlestick, but a wick, so even a second of market hype after a large institutional purchase, a short pump, a small glimpse of hope can be sufficient to activate a new price record.

So you say there is a chance

Purely based on the charts, Ethereum seems to be a new all-time high by the end of the year not such a crazy idea. The Golden Cross, a rising trend and institutional accumulation all point to higher prices ahead.

But – and this is a big but – that $ 4,000 resistance zone has risen dreams earlier. The 63.6% chances of countless seems good, perhaps even a touch conservatively the technical setup.

The current prices offers an interesting proposition for players for the prediction market. With 63.6 cents for “yes” shares, look at a potential return of 57% as ETH works. The key is to view those critical levels: keep above $ 3,100, break above $ 4,103 and pray that the Fed does not throw curveballs.

Main levels to view:

• Make it or break it: $ 4,103 (must close to the weekly)
• Thesis Intact: $ 3,100 (drop below = run for the outputs)
• The Promised Land: $ 4,891 (current ATH and Target)
• Rack goal: $ 5,200 (upper channel projection)

Remember that this is crypto – where a single tweet, whale movement or legal announcement can turn the script faster than you can renew your portfolio. The graphs say “yes”, the prediction market says “probably”, but as always in this game nothing is guaranteed except volatility.